3)
Medical Journals, Company Presentations, and KOL Circles
There are many great places that new research can be found and
company presentations are some of the best. Company scientists
know they can't just "pull the wool" over the eyes of Wall
Street analysts. When they publish in peer-reviewed academic
journals or make presentations at industry conferences, there
are just as many doctors in the room as number-crunchers.
And those presentations often are placed on company websites
where I can see the entire slide deck and watch video
recordings. This is a great way to not only understand new
science but also to be tuned-in to the criticism from scientific
peers. You can't really understand an R&D thesis unless you can
also point out its potential flaws.
This brings up a class of expert known as the KOL, or Key
Opinion Leader. In BioPharma especially, there are hundreds of
doctors and researchers involved at all levels of drug and
disease R&D whose opinions are widely respected in the global
medical community. For doctors at the front-lines taking care of
their patients, who don't always have time to stay up-to-date on
the latest research, the view of a KOL can often be an important
influence in their decision to try a new treatment option.
The payoff here was greater confidence in my thesis to buy
Juno Therapeutics (JUNO)
in the low $20s on a
low-risk/high-reward bet they will be a game changer in the
exciting field of immuno-oncology.
4) Institutional Buying and
Selling
Lastly, we still like to pay attention to what the big money is
doing. There are many fund managers running tens of billions in
investment war chests that are ear-marked solely for the
healthcare field, and some are focused entirely on biotech.
Many of these managers are some of the most serious and
disciplined of medical sector investors. So, we pay attention to
what they are buying and selling and I don't mind following
their money trail if enough of my other criteria are in line.
Gilead Sciences (GILD)
has been a sell for
years now. But many have been bottom-fishing in the belief that
the hepatitis-C juggernaut is steps away from finding its next
blockbuster acquisition.
Excerpts above are paraphrased from Zacks - Client company links
are inserted and not necessarily sanctioned by Zacks
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